{"id":5134,"date":"2017-01-02T09:37:03","date_gmt":"2017-01-02T09:37:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/?p=5134"},"modified":"2017-01-02T09:37:04","modified_gmt":"2017-01-02T09:37:04","slug":"5-federal-politicians-to-watch-in-2017","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/2017\/01\/02\/5-federal-politicians-to-watch-in-2017\/","title":{"rendered":"5 federal politicians to watch in 2017"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Both the Conservatives and New Democrats will choose new leaders in 2017, but the Liberals will also have some important decisions to make, including how to handle the prime minister&#8217;s ongoing <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/1.3897684\" target=\"_blank\">fundraising controversy<\/a> and whether to move forward with electoral reform.<\/p>\n<p>Here are five federal politicians to watch this year.<\/p>\n<h2>Prime Minister Justin Trudeau<\/h2>\n<p>Though the prime minister is always the most important political figure in the country, Justin Trudeau\u00a0carries his party more than most leaders. He is hyper-present, making himself the face of the government and the controversial decisions it makes \u2014 as he did when he announced the government&#8217;s decision on oil pipelines in November rather than passing the responsibility to Natural Resources Minister Jim Carr.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The Pollcast: Leadership races, Trudeau and Trump<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Trudeau is more popular than his party, with an approval rating averaging 59 per cent in 2016, while the Liberals averaged 47 per cent support.<\/p>\n<p>But his numbers dipped\u00a0as the year came to a close and the controversy surrounding &#8220;cash-for-access&#8221; fundraisers may be contributing to that.<\/p>\n<p>A recent Nanos Research poll suggested\u00a062 per cent of Canadians disapprove or somewhat disapprove of elected officials attending $1,500-per-ticket fundraising events, while Abacus Data found the controversy has made Canadians feel worse rather than better about the Trudeau government by a margin of three to one.<\/p>\n<p>Being the headliner for these events, while also being the face of the Liberal Party, may prove to be an enduring problem for Trudeau\u00a0in 2017.<\/p>\n<h2>Democratic Institutions Minister Maryam Monsef<\/h2>\n<div class=\"figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.cbc.ca\/1.3898547.1482363461!\/cpImage\/httpImage\/image.jpg_gen\/derivatives\/original_620\/question-period-20161212.jpg\" alt=\"Question Period 20161212\" width=\"100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"figure-caption\">It will be up to Democratic Institutions Minister Maryam Monsef to deliver on the Liberals&#8217; promise of electoral reform. (Sean Kilpatrick\/Canadian Press)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>The Liberals campaigned on ending the first-past-the-post voting system before the 2019 federal election and it&#8217;s\u00a0up to Maryam Monsef, minister of democratic institutions, to deliver on that promise.<\/p>\n<p>Despite a palpable lack of enthusiasm on the part of the Liberals for either proportional representation or a referendum on any change to the electoral system \u2014 the two main recommendations of the special committee on electoral reform \u2014 Monsef\u00a0still promises to present legislation in the spring.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The Pollcast: Electoral reform, like math, is hard<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Polls don&#8217;t suggest Canadians are convinced there&#8217;s a need to change\u00a0the electoral system and they&#8217;re even more divided on what kind of change should be enacted. They are clearer on whether a referendum should be held: according to a recent Forum poll, 64 per cent of Canadians, including 55 per cent of Liberal voters, said there should be a vote.<\/p>\n<p>Monsef&#8217;s move on electoral reform will affect every MP in the House of Commons, so the legislation she says she&#8217;ll present in the spring has the potential to be one of the most consequential bills of the entire year.<\/p>\n<h2>NDP MP Nathan Cullen<\/h2>\n<div class=\"figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.cbc.ca\/1.3615215.1482363579!\/cpImage\/httpImage\/image.jpg_gen\/derivatives\/original_620\/ndp-leadership-cullen-20160603.jpg\" alt=\"NDP Leadership Cullen 20160603\" width=\"100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"figure-caption\">NDP MP Nathan Cullen could have a big impact on the NDP leadership race \u2014 even though he&#8217;s not running. (Adrian Wyld\/Canadian Press)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>British Columbia\u00a0MP Nathan Cullen is the NDP&#8217;s\u00a0critic for democratic reform and an outspoken proponent of proportional representation. With every step that Monsef takes on this file, Cullen will be right there to challenge\u00a0her.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The Pollcast: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/politics\/grenier-pollcast-housser-maclachlan-1.3824338\" target=\"_blank\">When will the NDP leadership race get going?<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Cullen will also likely have influence on the NDP&#8217;s leadership race. Cullen, who finished third in the party&#8217;s 2012 leadership campaign, has already ruled himself out this time. But his endorsement might be the most valuable from any New Democrat.<\/p>\n<h2>Conservative MP Kellie Leitch<\/h2>\n<div class=\"figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.cbc.ca\/1.3898564.1482363586!\/cpImage\/httpImage\/image.jpg_gen\/derivatives\/original_620\/conservative-leadership-debate-20161109.jpg\" alt=\"Conservative Leadership Debate 20161109\" width=\"100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"figure-caption\">How Kellie Leitch fares in the Conservative leadership race could influence where the party goes from here. (Liam Richards\/Canadian Press)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Whether Ontario MP Kellie Leitch succeeds or fails in her bid for the Conservative leadership will only tell part of the story of what her <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/1.3862203\" target=\"_blank\">populist campaign<\/a> means for the future of her party.<\/p>\n<p>Can she win? So far, she has few endorsements from fellow caucus members or party luminaries, she was <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/politics\/grenier-q32016-fundraising-1.3829573\">beaten by Quebec MP Maxime Bernier<\/a> in fundraising in the third quarter of 2016, and the rules of the leadership race reward contestants with a broad base\u00a0of support \u2014\u00a0a base that her fundraising data suggests she <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/politics\/grenier-conservative-leadership-donors-1.3876575\">doesn&#8217;t have<\/a>.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>ANALYSIS<\/strong><strong>|\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/1.3862203\" target=\"_blank\">What we&#8217;re talking about, and not talking about, when we talk about &#8216;elites&#8217;<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>But if Leitch wins, she would pull the Conservatives\u00a0in a direction that would leave Trudeau&#8217;s Liberals with a lot of room in the centre of the political spectrum \u2014 and polling suggests the Liberals are already <a href=\"http:\/\/abacusdata.ca\/after-my-democracy-castro-cash-for-access-pipelines-climate-plan-liberals-end-the-year-well-ahead-but-off-their-summer-peak\/\">holding a wide lead<\/a> among centrist voters.<\/p>\n<p>If Leitch loses, the scale of that defeat could also have an impact on the future of the party. If she takes a large share of the vote, the next leader of the Conservatives might feel the need to take up\u00a0some of Leitch&#8217;s policies, which include screening immigrants for &#8220;anti-Canadian\u00a0values&#8221; and dismantling the CBC. But if she wins a small share of the vote, it could be an indication that populism doesn&#8217;t work in Canada.<\/p>\n<h2>&#8216;Consensus&#8217; candidate for Conservative leader<\/h2>\n<div class=\"figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.cbc.ca\/1.3892460.1482363600!\/cpImage\/httpImage\/image.jpg_gen\/derivatives\/original_620\/conservative-leadership-20161206.jpg\" alt=\"Conservative Leadership 20161206\" width=\"100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"figure-caption\">No clear front-runner has emerged in the crowded Conservative leadership race. (Andrew Vaughan\/Canadian Press)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Considering there is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/politics\/grenier-conservative-leadership-poll-1.3892362\">no apparent front-runner<\/a>\u00a0yet in the crowded Conservative leadership race, there is a significant likelihood that the eventual winner could be the contestant who finishes second or third on the first ballot.<\/p>\n<p>With their unique policy positions, candidates like Michael Chong, Leitch and Bernier\u00a0might occupy a large enough section of the Conservative membership base to do well on the first ballot, but they could have trouble garnering the second- and third-choice votes needed to win. That opens up the door to &#8220;consensus&#8221; candidates, those who are trying to alienate the fewest number of members by avoiding controversial policies \u2014 candidates like Andrew Scheer, Erin O&#8217;Toole and Lisa Raitt.<\/p>\n<p>The long list of contestants and the lack of hard data on their rankings\u00a0in the race make it impossible to know who that consensus candidate might be just yet. Data, such as fundraising numbers and polls\u00a0on second choice preferences, might help clarify things before party members vote in May.<\/p>\n<p>But until the list of contestants is winnowed down, it might be difficult for any candidate to stand out from the pack.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Both the Conservatives and New Democrats will choose new leaders in 2017, but the Liberals will also have some important decisions to make, including how to handle the prime minister&rsquo;s ongoing fundraising controversy and whether to move forward with electoral reform. Here are five federal politicians to watch this year. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau Though the prime minister is always the most important political figure in the country, Justin Trudeau&nbsp;carries his party more than most leaders. He is hyper-present, making himself the face of the government and the controversial decisions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[17],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5134"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5134"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5134\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5136,"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5134\/revisions\/5136"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5134"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5134"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5134"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}