Scientific advisers to the government have warned of the risk of lifting the lockdown in England, as the UK begins the final weekend before rules change.<\/p>\n
Professor John Edmunds said it was a “political decision” to ease measures; Sir Jeremy Farrar said the NHS test and trace system should be “fully working”.<\/p>\n
From Monday schools will reopen and up to six people can meet in England, with other nations also easing measures.<\/p>\n
The government said it had followed the data and evidence at all times.<\/p>\n
The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage), which advises the government, has published details of its confidential meetings.<\/p>\n
It includes minutes of 34 Sage sessions, going back to 22 January, and a series of scientific reports.<\/p>\n
They show one Sage meeting on 23 April estimated there would be only 1,000 cases per day by mid-May.<\/p>\n
Instead, estimates by the Office for National Statistics suggest there are currently 8,000 cases per day in England alone. Those figures do not include cases in care homes or hospitals.<\/p>\n
Professor warns on ‘political’ lockdown decision<\/p>\n
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Prof Edmunds, from the London School of Tropical Hygiene and Medicine and a member of Sage, said the levels of coronavirus were still “very high” and many scientists would rather the number of cases declined before measures were relaxed.<\/p>\n
Sir Jeremy Farrar, director of the Wellcome Trust and a member of Sage, said on Twitter that Covid-19 is “spreading too fast to lift lockdown in England” and NHS test and trace “has to be fully working and infection rates have to be lower”.<\/p>\n
Speaking on BBC Radio 4’s Today programme, Prof Peter Horby, who sits on Sage and chairs its NERVTAG subcommittee, agreed, saying the R number was still close to one and it was important we “don’t lose control”.<\/p>\n
“What I would say is that returning to a situation where we lost control again is far worse than another week or two of social measures,” he said.<\/p>\n
A fourth Sage member, Prof Calum Semple, said a “brave” political decision had been made to coincide with when schools were due to reopen “were everything normal”, but warned that high levels of transmission were still being seen.<\/p>\n
“Essentially we’re lifting the lid on a boiling pan and it’s just going to bubble over,” he said. “We need to get it down to simmer before we take the lift off, and it’s too early.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Scientific advisers to the government have warned of the risk of lifting the lockdown in England, as the UK begins the final weekend before rules change. Professor John Edmunds said it was a “political decision” to ease measures; Sir Jeremy Farrar said the NHS test and trace system should be “fully working”. From Monday schools will reopen and up to six people can meet in England, with other nations also easing measures. The government said it had followed the data and evidence at all times. The Scientific Advisory Group for<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":20439,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[30,2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20438"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20438"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20438\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20440,"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20438\/revisions\/20440"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20439"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20438"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20438"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.banglanewsus.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20438"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}